| THE NEAR WEST SIDE: AN EMERGING COMMUNITY AREA OVERVIEW The Near West Side Community area includes a variety of developing neighborhoods including the job-rich University Village/Circle Campus area, the improving commercial part of the South Loop, and most importantly, the conversion and new construction residential areas of the West Loop Gate and Greektown. The Near West Side is a redeveloped, mostly condo area, which has become residential only in the past ten years. By now, it is one of the City’s more significant condo neighborhoods. Because of its proximity to the central business district, and due to the number of conversions in the area, the Near West Side has been commonly known as a lower-priced, “starter home” neighborhood. Recent statistics indicate the beginning of more expensive, ‘trade up’ market as well. SALES VOLUME IN THE PAST DECADE This market has seen tremendous growth in the past ten years in sales volume. 1995---75 units sold 2000---746 units sold 2005---1,670 (projected) Price increases for condo units, especially the more expensive units have increased rapidly during the past decade. The gap between the ‘typical’ (median) unit price and the more expensive units, which pull up the area’s “average price,” have widened. This price gap indicates the beginning of a differentiation in Near West Side prices, a gap between starter units and trade up units. This gap has been a regular characteristic of the general condo market in the City. This gap occurs whenever there is a wide diversity in the quality, location, and size of condo units. In its early days, the Near West Side had mostly smaller units, and as a result, both its median and average numbers were similar. TEN YEAR TREND IN WEST SIDE CONDO PRICES Median Average Difference 1994 $161,050 $156,747 <$4,303 2000 $241,338 $261,070 $19,723> 2004 $291,000 $314,138 $23,138> 3rd.Q-2005 $309,450 $338,201 $28,751> $ change +$148,400 +$181,454 +$33,054 % change +92% +116% +168% THE GAP BETWEEN MEDIAN AND AVERAGE SALES PRICES (current MLS ‘ACTIVE’ listings) Citywide Lake View Near West Side # of 11/4 listings 25,330 1,077 883 Days on market 120 107 219 Median price $239,000 $349,000 $335,000 Average price $316,000 $390,000 $377,000 Price differential +$77,000 +$41,000 +$42,000 THE GAP BETWEEN MEDIAN AND AVERAGE SALES PRICES FOR 1, 2, AND 3 BEDROOM UNITS ON THE NEAR WEST SIDE (Units Pending as of 11/04/05) All Sizes 1 bedroom 2 bedroom 3 bedroom Number Pending 1158 412 625 110 Days on the Market 194 288 136 175 Median price $279,000 $249,400 $289,900 $449,450 Average price $303,000 $249,473 $303,424 $460,957 Price Gap $24,000 $73 $13,524 $11,507 $ Volume $350,171,588 $102,782,952 $189,640,504 $50,705,300 While it is clear that there is price gap developing among Near West Side units, in terms of ‘starter’ units versus more upscale units, the most significant thing about area sales activity, has been the rapid increase the number of days that condo units are on the market. Market statistics indicate that as the volume of Near West Side sales have increased, the length of time that area units were listed increased substantially. By 2005, listing times for Near West Side units were substantially above citywide numbers. And when compared to the high volume, well developed Lake View condo markets, Near West Side listing periods were significantly longer. We can conclude that although the Near West Side market has come a long way in terms of units sold, and price differentiation, the resale market there remains constrained. RECENT MARKET TRENDS FOR NEAR WEST SIDE CONDO SALES ALL SOLD UNITS * CURRENTLY LISTED # of Units Days on Market # of Units Days on Market $250-299,000 257 81 200 29 $300-349,000 198 80 177 229 $350-399,000 150 133 116 274 $400-449,000 95 174 90 171 $450-499,000 37 151 50 194 TOTAL 981 106 883 219 *Within past 180 days only. NEWLY CONSTRUCTED UNITS EXEMPT FROM THE LONG LISTING RULE The only exception to the long listing periods for Near West Side units, is newly constructed units. When multiple listing statistics are searched for units newly constructed since the beginning of 2004, the average listing periods shorten significantly in nearly all categories. CURRENTLY LISTED ALL TYPES UNITS NEWLY CONSTRUCTED # of Listings 883 250 Days on the market 219 139 Meidan Price $335,000 $327,400 Average price $377,000 $360,251 Price differential $42,000 +$32,728 UNITS CURRENTLY PENDING ALL UNIT TYPES NEW CONSTRUCTION Number of listings 1158 207 Days on Market 194 31 Median Price $279,000 $291,500 Average Price $303,000 $302,326 Price Gap $24,000 $10,826 Volume $ 350,171,588 $62,581,530 LISTING TIME FOR CERTAIN NEW UNITS PENDING VS ALL UNITS NEW UNITS ALL TYPES OF UNITS 2 Bedrooms 30 days 136 days SUMMARY OF KEY TRENDS SALES VOLUME AND PRICES UP SUBSTANTIALLY CURRENT STARTER UNIT PRICES FLAT A HIGHER END MARKET IS DEVELOPING, WITH CONTINUING PRICE INCREASES FOR TWO BEDROOMS OR LARGER TIME LISTED ON THE MARKET HAS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY FOR ALL UNIT TYPE AND PRICE CATEGORIES EXISTING TWO-BEDROOM UNITS ARE SELLING FASTER, WITH PRICES STILL INCREASING NEW CONSTUCTION UNITS ARE PRICED MUCH HIGHER FOR CURRENTLY LISTED UNITS THAN FOR PENDING UNITS NEW CONSTRUCTION PENDING TIMES ARE VERY SHORT PJFugiel 11-05-05 © 2005 * Market data supplied by the Fast Stat data base provided by the Chicago Association of Realtors and Multiple Listing Service (MLSNI) community area statistics for the Near West Side. |
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